AI-Geopolitics

Those who cannot remember the past, George Santayana warned, are condemned to repeat it—and in 2026, Washington appears bent on relearning an old lesson the hard way. The United States is trying to throttle China the way empires once strangled their rivals, by cutting off lifelines of cheap oil from Iran and Venezuela, seizing fields, … Read more

The Irreversible Agency Standard Conditioning the Scaling of Frontier AI Across this series, the argument has unfolded in stages. We began by examining technological convergence and the possibility that advanced AI, potentially amplified by quantum acceleration, could steepen capability curves. We then turned to the physical layer—compute, hardware, and energy—as the last durable chokepoints for … Read more

Geopolitical Compression and the U.S.–China AI Race Why Strategic Competition Makes Governance Harder—and More Necessary Technological governance does not occur in a vacuum. It occurs inside rivalry. Advanced artificial intelligence is now explicitly embedded in national strategy for both the United States and China. The 2021 report of the U.S. National Security Commission on Artificial … Read more

Detecting Recursive Systems Before They Run Away Why Early Warning, Not Prediction, Should Anchor AI Governance The debate over recursive self-improvement in artificial intelligence often collapses into a false binary: either runaway superintelligence is imminent, or it is science fiction. Both positions miss the more important question. If recursive improvement poses systemic risk, the central … Read more

From a Simple Question to a Cultural Inflection Point The inquiry began with a deceptively simple prompt: “Name one thing that humans can do that can never be replicated by any other means.” At first glance, the question invites a confident declaration. It is structured to elicit a boundary—something definitive, something unique, something absolute. Most … Read more