I write about AI and Geopolitics
A Better Path to AGI Before It’s Too Late Here’s the big problem no one wants to talk about: When it comes to AI, no one knows exactly what we’re building. Not the engineers. Not the CEOs. Not the governments funding it. We are feeding a system on the full disorder of human civilization and … Read more
I wrote this essay because I’m worried about a quiet shift in the AI landscape that most people haven’t seen yet. I call it the Gray-Alignment threat. When people talk about AI risk, they usually focus on the big, visible things: training giant models, building massive data centers, and restricting access to advanced chips. What … Read more
I grew up with the phrase “changing tack.” It’s an old sailing term. You change tack when you need to turn the boat, catch the wind differently, or avoid something in the water. In everyday life, it means you shift your strategy while keeping the same destination. You accept what you can’t control, stay flexible, … Read more
Here’s what I’m wrestling with—and why it matters beyond AI policy circles: In early July 2026, I asked thirteen frontier AI models two structured questions. The first was simple: is the world prepared for artificial general intelligence (systems that could match or surpass humans across many tasks) across six dimensions—technical infrastructure, regulation, safety and alignment … Read more
Documented Damage, the Tools That Were Ignored, and Where to Look Next Executive Summary Parts 1 and 2 established the ecological mechanisms and the regulatory architecture that make cumulative watershed collapse nearly invisible. This final installment shows the damage is no longer hypothetical. In Paulding County, Georgia — and in watersheds like the Potomac and … Read more