Thinking Out Loud: Feeding the Baby

A Better Path to AGI Before It’s Too Late Here’s the big problem no one wants to talk about: When it comes to AI, no one knows exactly what we’re building. Not the engineers. Not the CEOs. Not the governments funding it. We are feeding a system on the full disorder of human civilization and … Read more

The Gray-Alignment Threat: How API Distillation Is Reshaping the AI Geopolitical Landscape

I wrote this essay because I’m worried about a quiet shift in the AI landscape that most people haven’t seen yet. I call it the Gray-Alignment threat. When people talk about AI risk, they usually focus on the big, visible things: training giant models, building massive data centers, and restricting access to advanced chips. What … Read more

Two Polls, One Diagnosis

The AGI Poll Conjunction In early July 2026, I asked thirteen frontier models two blunt questions about AGI. On July 6, I asked whether the world is prepared for AGI across six areas: technical infrastructure, regulation, safety and alignment, economic readiness, public awareness, and international cooperation. Every model said no. On July 7, I asked … Read more

What Should Fill the Pause: What 13 Models Actually Said When Asked

Key Takeaways: Methodology In a follow-up to my earlier essay on pausing AGI development, I asked the same 13 frontier models a different, deliberately open-ended question: assuming a real pause, what should the freed capital, compute, and talent be redirected toward? The full prompt is below: Assume, for the purposes of this question only, that … Read more